Category Archive: Winter Weather

Jan 08

A Botched Forecast: What Went Wrong and How We Get Better

The hate mail rolled in today, mostly stemming from folks not getting the forecast amount of snow in their backyards or that the snowfall amounts were underdone. We “try” to predict the behavior of a science that is far from perfect, and more times than not, we come up short. COMPUTER ERROR: Since the start …

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Jan 03

Weekend Winter Storm Threat For The Southeast, Mid-Atlantic.

Confidence continues to increase seemingly by the hour on the threat for a potentially significant winter storm for the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States this weekend. And sadly, that first sentence is about the only thing that we know with any certainty at this point, but that we study all of the …

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Aug 21

Winter 2016-2017: Preliminary Outlook

Another year is more than halfway in the books and as we have a month left until we reach the autumnal equinox, this is the time of the year I shed some insight as to what the upcoming winter could spell for us. Now keep in mind, as with any long-range outlook that spans the …

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Feb 17

Much Colder, Snowier In The East; Warm In The West Through February

The groundhog made its appearance earlier this month and whether it saw its shadow or not has no impact on how the remainder of winter will turn out, but science can give us insight on this. As I’ve mentioned since my winter outlook was released in September, winter would have a tardy arrival this year as …

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Feb 09

Coldest Air Of The Season Coming This Weekend Across The East With Dangerous Wind Chills Likely

As noted in several articles and social media weather discussions, following a brief, February thaw, the gates to the Yukon would open up and Arctic air would flood into the eastern tier of the US. As we head into Valentine’s Day weekend, the confidence in this solution has increased significantly. Model guidance suggested that around …

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Feb 07

Widespread Snow Likely Sunday-Tuesday Across Eastern US; Possible Nor’easter for New England

Last night, I broke down three possible scenarios that could evolve with several pieces of energy that were in play across map. These pieces of energy were either to work in tandem or act independently to produce either a set of minor snowfall events or one larger snowfall event. As we look at the same …

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Feb 05

Multiple Winter Storm Threats Next Week Across The East

As we move into next week, things become very interesting when looking at potential winter storm threats through the early and middle parts of next week. The pattern is loaded, and the pieces are on the table… but the biggest question that always surfaces with these winter storm threats is… “can it all come together …

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Jan 31

Major Winter Storm To Impact Rockies to The Upper Midwest; Severe Weather Threat To the South

Well, the ingredients are nearly all on the table for a major winter storm across the Rockies, Plains and upper Midwest beginning Monday. I say nearly all because the energy needed to produce this winter storm has yet to reach land, as it is still in the Pacific Ocean. This will all change by tonight …

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Jan 21

Major Winter Storm Set To Impact A Large Part Of The Eastern US This Weekend With Significant Snow

Parts of Maryland have been placed under a Blizzard Watch beginning Friday, while parts of the central Plains to the Middle and Upper Middle Atlantic regions are under some type of winter weather warning, watch or advisory. All of this in advance of what is likely to evolve into a major winter storm set to …

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Jan 19

Major Winter Storm Likely This Weekend Across The Eastern US

As I’ve talked about since well before the start of Winter, Winter would arrive this year… but on a tardy schedule, and this has been the case. The long and oft-talked about “pattern-flip” has taken place and we are in the midst of wave after wave of cold, Arctic air and prime conditions for winter …

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